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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.61+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.95-0.58vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.80vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.45+0.58vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-2.47+1.51vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-2.26+0.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.88-0.68vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.15-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.6%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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5.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.2University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.58San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.51Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.16Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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9.04California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Miller | 63.5% | 23.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 7.3% | 18.0% | 20.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 10.8% | 24.1% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 40.9% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.