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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.61+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.95+1.42vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.45+4.62vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.35+0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.84vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.15+0.94vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.15-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.88+0.19vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.47-1.39vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-2.26-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.6%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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7.62San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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4.38Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.98California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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9.61Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.23Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Miller | 63.0% | 24.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 11.1% | 24.0% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.1% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.5% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 12.1% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 37.8% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 22.6% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.