← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.95+2.38vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.89vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy2.61-1.45vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.35+0.38vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-2.47+2.44vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands-2.15+0.95vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University-1.45-1.39vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-1.06vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-2.88-0.69vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University-2.26-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
-
3.89University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
-
1.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.6%1st Place
-
4.38Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
-
5.16University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.44Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
-
8.95California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
-
7.61San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
-
8.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
-
10.31University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
-
9.27Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Law | 12.0% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 7.6% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaden Miller | 62.6% | 24.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.6% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 4.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 11.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 12.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 39.9% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.