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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.95+2.40vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.61-0.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.64+0.90vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.35+0.37vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.82vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.45+0.59vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University-2.26+1.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.88+0.17vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.15-1.93vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.47-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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1.52California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.6%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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4.37Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.18University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.59San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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9.14Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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9.07California State University Channel Islands-2.150.0%1st Place
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9.65Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Law | 11.5% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaden Miller | 63.9% | 23.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.1% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 14.3% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 9.6% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 37.5% |
| Benjamin Valenzuela | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.7% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.