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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.61+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.95+1.07vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.29vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.44vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University-2.26+0.19vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.45-2.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.88-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.7%1st Place
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3.07University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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3.97Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.19Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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6.89San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Miller | 65.3% | 22.9% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 12.6% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.1% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.2% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.3% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 12.7% | 21.7% | 28.9% | 23.5% |
| julian stauffer | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 6.0% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 29.4% | 19.3% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 21.8% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.