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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.61+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.95+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.39vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.35-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10-1.35vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.45-0.06vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University-2.26+0.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.88-1.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.7%1st Place
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3.08University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.88Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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6.94San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.1Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Miller | 65.3% | 24.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 13.1% | 28.1% | 24.9% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.1% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Turloff | 8.3% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 5.0% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| julian stauffer | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 22.6% | 16.0% | 4.8% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 26.7% | 24.1% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 50.9% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 29.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.