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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.61+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.95+1.04vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.35+0.97vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.65+0.53vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.45+0.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.10-2.34vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University-2.26+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.88-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.7%1st Place
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3.04University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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3.97Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.53University of California at Berkeley-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.86San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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8.05Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Miller | 66.9% | 21.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Law | 13.3% | 29.7% | 22.5% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Turloff | 7.2% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.1% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Grinkrug | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 5.1% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 22.1% | 50.6% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 22.9% | 28.7% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.