← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-0.53+2.24vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.57+1.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame-0.07-0.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-1.71+1.34vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.06+1.06vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-1.08-1.70vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-2.60-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Western Michigan University-2.22-1.72vs Predicted
-
9Saint Mary's College-2.73-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.24Ohio State University-0.5320.8%1st Place
-
3.28Purdue University-0.5719.9%1st Place
-
2.53University of Notre Dame-0.0730.8%1st Place
-
5.34University of Michigan-1.716.3%1st Place
-
6.06Marquette University-2.064.1%1st Place
-
4.3Michigan Technological University-1.0810.3%1st Place
-
6.83University of Notre Dame-2.602.7%1st Place
-
6.28Western Michigan University-2.223.0%1st Place
-
7.13Saint Mary's College-2.732.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mignogna | 20.8% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Holmes | 19.9% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Opferman | 30.8% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% |
| Stella Brown | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 13.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 10.3% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| John Manning | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 23.0% | 26.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.