Race 11B

senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Collin Leon 15.8% 14.1% 13.9% 13.0% 13.1% 11.0% 8.7% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Andril 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 10.4% 10.3% 10.1% 12.4% 10.7% 10.6% 6.4% 4.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Don Hause III 13.0% 12.6% 14.9% 12.0% 13.3% 9.9% 10.2% 7.7% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Bailey 12.8% 12.7% 13.3% 10.8% 12.0% 11.9% 10.1% 7.6% 5.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Giuditta Di Laghi 5.6% 7.5% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6% 13.8% 11.2% 11.1% 8.8% 6.3% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 5.7% 6.9% 9.0% 13.5% 14.1% 15.3% 12.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Markus Edegran 23.1% 20.6% 17.3% 11.9% 10.1% 8.6% 4.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Conway 2.2% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 5.3% 6.2% 6.9% 10.0% 12.4% 13.0% 14.2% 11.7% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Matthew Winter 1.7% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.9% 8.8% 11.0% 16.0% 15.1% 12.9% 9.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Christopher Stessing 12.8% 13.7% 13.5% 16.7% 11.0% 11.6% 7.5% 6.5% 3.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 2.1% 2.4% 2.0% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 4.9% 9.6% 10.6% 15.2% 12.9% 14.4% 7.6% 3.0% 0.5%
Allison Blauvelt 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 2.7% 3.6% 5.9% 7.9% 13.6% 31.3% 23.1% 6.5%
Andrew Young 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 2.5% 2.1% 4.3% 10.4% 30.4% 47.1%
Andrew Rybczynski 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 7.3% 8.2% 9.9% 15.1% 20.2% 16.0% 4.9% 1.1%
Branham Talton 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.6% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 11.3% 32.4% 43.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.