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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.95+2.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.61-0.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.65+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.90-1.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.52vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.35-1.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.69vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.45-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.88-0.14vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University-2.26-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Southern California0.950.1%1st Place
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1.76California Poly Maritime Academy2.610.5%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Berkeley-0.650.0%1st Place
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2.56University of California at Santa Cruz1.900.2%1st Place
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5.52University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.79San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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8.99Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Law | 7.6% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 22.3% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaden Miller | 50.9% | 29.0% | 14.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Grinkrug | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Joaquin DesRochers | 23.2% | 31.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| julian stauffer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 5.9% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 20.9% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 50.8% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 21.7% | 27.2% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.