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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.42+0.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.86+3.41vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.87+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.46-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.96+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.22+2.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.06-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.38-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.65-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.40-2.85vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79-6.64vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-2.71-4.99vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-3.03-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.11California Poly Maritime Academy3.420.9%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.43San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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3.1University of Southern California0.460.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at San Diego-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
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7.36Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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10.01California State University Monterey Bay-2.710.0%1st Place
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10.71Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Oyler | 89.4% | 10.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachael Tier | 1.2% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Conze | 4.3% | 41.5% | 23.0% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jundai Nishida | 0.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Zev Fort | 1.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.5% |
| Tommy Hofer | 0.5% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Richard Kramer | 0.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Ava Piland | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 24.1% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.