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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.42+0.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.86+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.46-1.56vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+2.09vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.87-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.96-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.38-1.46vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-3.03-2.11vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.22-5.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.40-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.15California Poly Maritime Academy3.420.9%1st Place
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3.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Southern California0.460.1%1st Place
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8.09Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.87San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.89Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Oyler | 86.3% | 12.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 3.0% | 21.4% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Hofer | 0.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Maximilian Conze | 5.3% | 29.2% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Rachael Tier | 1.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Zev Fort | 1.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jundai Nishida | 0.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 37.5% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.5% |
| Richard Kramer | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.