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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.86+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.46+0.24vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-1.24+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.06+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-2.38+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.96+1.47vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.14vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.87-3.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-2.22-2.06vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-3.03-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.40-6.37vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.65-10.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72University of California at Berkeley-0.860.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Southern California0.460.4%1st Place
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5.62California Poly Maritime Academy-1.240.1%1st Place
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5.08University of California at San Diego-1.060.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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6.86Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.59San Diego State University-0.870.1%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.79Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Kaslosas | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Conze | 39.3% | 29.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dersen Eddowes | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Zev Fort | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% |
| Jundai Nishida | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Camden Wacha | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Rachael Tier | 12.4% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.4% |
| Alexander Stellato | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 39.9% |
| Richard Kramer | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| Tommy Hofer | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.