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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.86+3.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.46+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+3.93vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.87+0.80vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+2.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-2.22+2.31vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy-1.24-1.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.06-2.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-2.400.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.96-2.34vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-3.03-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.38-7.06vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81University of California at Berkeley-0.860.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Southern California0.460.4%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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4.8San Diego State University-0.870.1%1st Place
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7.1Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy-1.240.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at San Diego-1.060.1%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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10.25Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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10.07California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Kaslosas | 9.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Conze | 42.7% | 25.1% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Rachael Tier | 9.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Dersen Eddowes | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Zev Fort | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Richard Kramer | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
| Jundai Nishida | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Alexander Stellato | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 29.0% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% |
| Annika Altman | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.