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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.46+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+3.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-2.38+4.74vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.96+2.67vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+1.23vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-1.24-1.14vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.87-3.03vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-3.03-0.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-3.21-1.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.22-4.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-2.40-5.05vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.93-10.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Southern California0.460.5%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.67University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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4.86California Poly Maritime Academy-1.240.1%1st Place
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3.97San Diego State University-0.870.1%1st Place
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9.19Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Conze | 46.7% | 28.0% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Hofer | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Jundai Nishida | 3.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Dersen Eddowes | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Rachael Tier | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stellato | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 29.4% |
| Diana Vins | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 33.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
| Richard Kramer | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| John Mayfield | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.