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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.46+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-2.22+5.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.38+5.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.65+1.91vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.87-2.20vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.93-1.39vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-3.03+0.83vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy-1.24-5.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.96-5.12vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-2.78-5.85vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-3.21-5.89vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-2.40-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Southern California0.460.4%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.1%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.0University of California at Davis-2.380.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.650.0%1st Place
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4.8San Diego State University-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.95Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.83Arizona State University-3.030.0%1st Place
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5.74California Poly Maritime Academy-1.240.1%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Irvine-1.960.0%1st Place
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10.15California State University Monterey Bay-2.780.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Irvine-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Conze | 43.2% | 24.3% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 11.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Maksim Shikhaleev | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| Tommy Hofer | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Rachael Tier | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| John Mayfield | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Stellato | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 25.2% |
| Dersen Eddowes | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jundai Nishida | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Liam Marney | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 17.1% |
| Diana Vins | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 31.6% |
| Richard Kramer | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.