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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.10+1.62vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.53+1.63vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.08+1.63vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.07-2.02vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.22+0.56vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.73+0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.77vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-2.06-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Michigan0.1029.5%1st Place
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3.63Ohio State University-0.5316.4%1st Place
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4.63Michigan Technological University-1.087.6%1st Place
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3.69Purdue University-0.5714.8%1st Place
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2.98University of Notre Dame-0.0723.0%1st Place
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6.56Western Michigan University-2.222.5%1st Place
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7.36Saint Mary's College-2.731.6%1st Place
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7.23University of Notre Dame-2.701.7%1st Place
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6.32Marquette University-2.062.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 29.5% | 25.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 16.4% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Gavin Holmes | 14.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Opferman | 23.0% | 22.0% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 16.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 24.8% | 34.4% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 34.6% |
| Stella Brown | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.