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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+4.49vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.61+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.82+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-1.53+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-2.64+4.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.33-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.70-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-3.02+2.15vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.87-2.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-2.70-0.54vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.04-0.55vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-4.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-3.02-2.77vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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3.31California Poly Maritime Academy-0.610.2%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-1.820.1%1st Place
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5.76University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Southern California-2.640.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.05University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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6.86San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Berkeley-2.700.0%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.040.0%1st Place
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7.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.1%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Briar | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Furin | 24.8% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Brayden Money | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Cann | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Sam Yu | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Jacobson | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 21.6% |
| Joshua Barraza | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Andre Lintner-Calvo | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.8% |
| Tyler Stump | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| Samantha Katz | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Emerson Coskey | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| Catalina Brody | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.