← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.61+2.85vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.72vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego-1.82+4.32vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-1.87+3.58vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+1.35vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles-1.33-0.15vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98+0.90vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.56vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+0.74vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-3.02+1.25vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.04+0.25vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-1.70-4.76vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-3.02-1.67vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-2.70-3.81vs Predicted
-
15University of Southern California-2.64-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.85California Poly Maritime Academy-0.610.2%1st Place
-
3.72University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.2%1st Place
-
7.32University of California at San Diego-1.820.1%1st Place
-
7.58San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
-
5.85University of California at Los Angeles-1.330.1%1st Place
-
7.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.1%1st Place
-
6.44University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
-
9.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
11.25University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
-
11.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.040.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of California at Berkeley-2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.99University of Southern California-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Furin | 20.7% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 21.9% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sam Yu | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Katz | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Brayden Money | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Catalina Brody | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% |
| Michael Jacobson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 19.4% |
| Tyler Stump | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 23.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Emerson Coskey | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 21.3% |
| Andre Lintner-Calvo | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
| Colin Cann | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.