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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+4.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.82+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.70+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.33+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.53+0.98vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.87+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-3.02+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-2.18-0.14vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+0.20vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-0.61-6.52vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-2.64-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-3.02-2.67vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.04-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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6.55University of California at San Diego-1.820.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.330.1%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.09San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Berkeley-2.180.1%1st Place
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9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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3.48California Poly Maritime Academy-0.610.2%1st Place
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7.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Southern California-2.640.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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10.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Briar | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| JP Finnegan | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sam Yu | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Money | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Barraza | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Emerson Coskey | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Catalina Brody | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Cameron Furin | 23.5% | 19.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Katz | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Colin Cann | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Michael Jacobson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 21.4% |
| Tyler Stump | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.