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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.61+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.82+4.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-2.64+6.51vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-1.87+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.33-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-2.18+1.02vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.53-3.13vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-2.46vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-3.02-1.05vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.04-2.09vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-3.67-1.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-3.02-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44California Poly Maritime Academy-0.610.2%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego-1.820.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Southern California-2.640.0%1st Place
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7.06San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.330.1%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Berkeley-2.180.1%1st Place
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5.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.87University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.1%1st Place
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9.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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10.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.040.0%1st Place
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12.36California State University Monterey Bay-3.670.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Furin | 24.1% | 23.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Cann | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Yu | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Dante Drolet | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Briar | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brayden Money | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Katz | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Catalina Brody | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Emerson Coskey | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| Tyler Stump | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| John Van Roekel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 35.9% |
| Michael Jacobson | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.