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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-1.70+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-1.33+3.12vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.61+0.43vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-3.02+5.44vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+3.20vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.87-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-2.18-1.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.04+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-3.02-0.54vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98-4.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.82-6.27vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-2.64-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of California at Irvine-1.700.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.330.1%1st Place
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3.43California Poly Maritime Academy-0.610.3%1st Place
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5.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.1%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Davis-3.020.0%1st Place
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9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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6.68San Diego State University-1.870.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Irvine-1.530.1%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Berkeley-2.180.1%1st Place
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10.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.040.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.1%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego-1.820.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Southern California-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nejan Gunawardena | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Yu | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Furin | 25.1% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Emerson Coskey | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 22.1% |
| Catalina Brody | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Joshua Barraza | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Brayden Money | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Dante Drolet | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Stump | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| Michael Jacobson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 22.3% |
| Samantha Katz | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Colin Cann | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.