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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.03+3.26vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+4.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.56vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01-0.52vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.84-1.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.22+1.87vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.11-1.42vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.15-0.91vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.68-1.78vs Predicted
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13American University-0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-1.46-0.13vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.48-1.18vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.07-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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3.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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4.48University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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4.72Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.58Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.58William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.18American University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.87St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.82Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.22Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Leon | 15.3% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.3% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bill Parker | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 33.0% | 20.8% | 7.8% |
| Branham Talton | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 30.6% | 46.2% |
| Andrew Young | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 11.6% | 33.4% | 43.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.