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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.03+3.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.22vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.84+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+0.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20+1.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89-1.42vs Predicted
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7American University-0.20+4.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.93vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.11-2.46vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.68-1.69vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-1.46+0.90vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.48-0.11vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.15-5.91vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.07-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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3.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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4.71Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
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6.46Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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11.89American University-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.54Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.56William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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13.9St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.89Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Leon | 15.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 25.0% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 30.6% | 21.4% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 10.8% | 33.5% | 45.2% |
| Andrew Young | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 31.0% | 46.1% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Winter | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.