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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.10+1.88vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.08+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.07+0.15vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57-0.15vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.53-1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.60+1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.03-2.17vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.73-0.43vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-2.06-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Michigan0.1025.5%1st Place
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4.82Michigan Technological University-1.088.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Notre Dame-0.0723.1%1st Place
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3.85Purdue University-0.5714.4%1st Place
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3.83Ohio State University-0.5314.7%1st Place
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7.43University of Notre Dame-2.601.9%1st Place
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4.83Western Michigan University-1.038.0%1st Place
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7.57Saint Mary's College-2.731.4%1st Place
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6.64Marquette University-2.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 25.5% | 24.4% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Opferman | 23.1% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Holmes | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.7% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| John Manning | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 28.3% | 35.9% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 25.4% | 41.2% |
| Stella Brown | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 24.4% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.