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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.52+0.82vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.20-0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.12vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.72+0.62vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.95-2.38vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.89-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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2.82University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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2.42Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.12University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.62Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.62Northwestern University-1.950.1%1st Place
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7.35Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Whiteside | 34.9% | 27.8% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 20.8% | 22.1% | 26.1% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Becker | 28.8% | 27.8% | 24.8% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 23.7% | 25.6% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 33.7% | 24.0% | 5.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 29.2% | 22.1% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 8.5% | 20.6% | 64.4% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 15.5% | 44.2% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.