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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.52+1.76vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.20+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.12vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.95-0.34vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.72-1.40vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.89-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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2.42Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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2.29University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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4.12University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.66Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.6Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.35Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Simcoe | 21.8% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emerson Becker | 29.1% | 27.9% | 23.3% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 33.8% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 25.5% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 20.2% | 28.5% | 22.5% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 35.8% | 21.1% | 5.6% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 22.5% | 63.9% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 15.9% | 44.0% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.