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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.26vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.20+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-1.53+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.52-1.19vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.95-0.37vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.72-0.40vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.89-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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2.43Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.12University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.81University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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4.63Northwestern University-1.950.1%1st Place
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5.6Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.36Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Whiteside | 34.7% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Becker | 28.4% | 28.6% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 27.5% | 14.0% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 20.8% | 22.1% | 27.1% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 18.6% | 29.3% | 22.4% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 19.2% | 35.9% | 21.5% | 5.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 22.7% | 63.9% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 16.3% | 43.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.