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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-1.53+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.32vs Predicted
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4Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+3.32vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.52-2.20vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.72-0.38vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.95-2.36vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.20-5.57vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.89-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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2.32University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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7.32Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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2.8University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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5.62Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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4.64Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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2.43Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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6.82University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Kroll | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 32.0% | 28.7% | 21.3% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 20.9% | 63.3% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 21.1% | 22.8% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Monville | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 19.4% | 35.1% | 22.6% | 5.4% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 28.1% | 23.2% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Emerson Becker | 31.4% | 24.9% | 22.0% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 15.0% | 44.4% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.