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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.25vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.20+0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-1.53+1.09vs Predicted
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4Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+3.38vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.52-2.16vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.72-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-3.89-0.18vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.95-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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2.42Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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4.09University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.38Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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2.84University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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5.56Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
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4.63Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Whiteside | 34.3% | 29.4% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Becker | 29.9% | 25.6% | 24.8% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Piper Luke | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 26.5% | 60.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 20.1% | 22.5% | 25.9% | 19.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 38.1% | 19.4% | 5.8% |
| Lily Lupardus | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 42.1% | 32.2% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 29.3% | 20.8% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.