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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.07+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.10+0.85vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.53+0.85vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.08+0.90vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.06+1.66vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.57-2.04vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.03-2.19vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.73-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.60-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Notre Dame-0.0722.9%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.1026.2%1st Place
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3.85Ohio State University-0.5314.3%1st Place
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4.9Michigan Technological University-1.088.3%1st Place
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6.66Marquette University-2.062.8%1st Place
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3.96Purdue University-0.5713.7%1st Place
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4.81Western Michigan University-1.038.2%1st Place
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7.51Saint Mary's College-2.731.7%1st Place
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7.35University of Notre Dame-2.601.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 22.9% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ted Sherman | 26.2% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| Stella Brown | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 27.2% | 16.8% |
| Gavin Holmes | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 41.4% |
| John Manning | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.