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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.52+0.81vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.95+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.11vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.72+0.62vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.20-3.58vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-3.89-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Wisconsin-0.100.3%1st Place
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2.81University of Michigan-0.520.2%1st Place
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4.61Northwestern University-1.950.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Wisconsin-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.62Michigan Technological University-2.720.0%1st Place
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2.42Ohio State University-0.200.3%1st Place
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7.35Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Saint Thomas-3.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Whiteside | 33.8% | 27.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 20.3% | 23.9% | 24.3% | 20.0% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 28.8% | 23.3% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 7.5% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Monville | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 34.6% | 23.2% | 5.2% |
| Emerson Becker | 28.7% | 27.6% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 20.3% | 64.7% |
| Lily Lupardus | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 14.4% | 44.8% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.