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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.66+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.61+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-2.03+0.25vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.58+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-1.01-3.24vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.30-2.33vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-2.27vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-4.79-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Wisconsin-0.660.4%1st Place
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3.64University of Michigan-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Saint Thomas-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.17Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Wisconsin-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.67Northwestern University-2.300.1%1st Place
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5.73Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
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7.54Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 37.7% | 27.9% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 13.3% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Georgia Green | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 22.7% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Ahlquist | 23.8% | 27.2% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marguerite Eno | 6.8% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 3.0% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 35.8% | 10.5% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 9.9% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.