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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.66+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-1.01+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.61+0.60vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.30-0.27vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-2.58-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-2.03-2.77vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-2.24vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-4.79-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Wisconsin-0.660.4%1st Place
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2.74University of Wisconsin-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Michigan-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.73Northwestern University-2.300.1%1st Place
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5.15Michigan Technological University-2.580.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Saint Thomas-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.76Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
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7.55Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 37.7% | 27.1% | 18.7% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Ahlquist | 24.4% | 26.0% | 21.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 14.1% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Marguerite Eno | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 3.0% |
| Astrid Myhre | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 25.0% | 22.5% | 4.0% |
| Georgia Green | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 1.5% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 35.5% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.