← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin-1.01+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-2.30+2.74vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.66-1.72vs Predicted
-
5University of Saint Thomas-2.03-0.70vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-1.61-2.38vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-2.58-1.92vs Predicted
-
8Saginaw Valley State University-2.98-2.25vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University-4.79-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66University of Wisconsin-1.010.3%1st Place
-
4.74Northwestern University-2.300.1%1st Place
-
2.28University of Wisconsin-0.660.4%1st Place
-
4.3University of Saint Thomas-2.030.1%1st Place
-
3.62University of Michigan-1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.08Michigan Technological University-2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.75Saginaw Valley State University-2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.56Marquette University-4.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Ahlquist | 26.1% | 27.0% | 20.3% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Marguerite Eno | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 3.4% |
| Sydney Mandell | 36.7% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Georgia Green | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 10.3% | 1.4% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 12.4% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Astrid Myhre | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 4.6% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 35.5% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Lothian | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.