← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia3.01+3.31vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.03+2.20vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.56vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.84+0.72vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.20+1.43vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.71vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University2.11-0.42vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.07+1.25vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy1.22-0.10vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.15-0.87vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary1.37-2.49vs Predicted
-
12American University-0.20+0.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland0.68-2.66vs Predicted
-
15St. John's College-1.46-1.16vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-1.48-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
4.2Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
-
4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
4.72Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.43Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
3.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
-
6.58Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.25Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.9U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.13Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
8.51William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.14American University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
10.34University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
-
13.84St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.8Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 13.8% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 13.3% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 13.3% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 22.1% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Bill Parker | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 31.8% | 21.5% | 7.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Branham Talton | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 11.6% | 30.9% | 45.1% |
| Andrew Young | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 31.0% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.