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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-2.06+5.59vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.10+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-2.70+4.53vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.03+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.07-1.96vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.53-2.12vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.57-3.08vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.08-3.15vs Predicted
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9Saint Mary's College-2.73-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Marquette University-2.063.5%1st Place
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2.85University of Michigan0.1026.5%1st Place
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7.53University of Notre Dame-2.701.7%1st Place
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4.81Western Michigan University-1.038.2%1st Place
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3.04University of Notre Dame-0.0724.2%1st Place
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3.88Ohio State University-0.5313.2%1st Place
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3.92Purdue University-0.5713.1%1st Place
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4.85Michigan Technological University-1.087.9%1st Place
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7.53Saint Mary's College-2.731.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Brown | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 17.1% |
| Ted Sherman | 26.5% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 27.0% | 39.2% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Joseph Opferman | 24.2% | 20.0% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Mignogna | 13.2% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Gavin Holmes | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 27.1% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.