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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.62vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+7.76vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+5.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+7.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.13+0.05vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.58-2.63vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-3.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.76vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.08+3.93vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.83-3.50vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.39-3.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.60vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.84-7.82vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.57-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.62Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.37Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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14.93Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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9.8Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.78Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% |
| Carly Kieding | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 36.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Lina Carper | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 19.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.