← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+4.63vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+5.57vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.22+7.81vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.43+1.89vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.13+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.56-0.46vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.48vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.84-0.01vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.62-0.08vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.39+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.84vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.57+1.25vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.45vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston1.83-6.08vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.36-1.36vs Predicted
-
16Brown University2.29-9.44vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.80vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University-0.08-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.63Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.57Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.81George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
5.89Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.96Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.54Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
8.92Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.14Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
-
10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
-
13.25University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
7.92College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
-
13.64Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
6.56Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
13.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
14.8Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| bella casaretto | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| Ava Farley | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.