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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.59vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+5.24vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+7.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.39vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.56-0.44vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-1.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-0.99vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.83-1.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.83vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.39-1.72vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.08vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-2.97vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.36-3.23vs Predicted
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18Fordham University-0.08-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.79George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.43Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.39College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.28Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.03University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.77Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.82Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 14.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.