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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+7.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+10.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.45vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.13+1.96vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39+3.93vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+3.51vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.44vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.58-3.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-3.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-5.00vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.59vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-1.41vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-1.02vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-3.84vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.83-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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13.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.93Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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5.3Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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7.75Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.59Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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14.98Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Lina Carper | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 11.5% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 36.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.