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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+8.99vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+3.07vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+5.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+3.17vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.58-0.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.83-0.82vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.13-2.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-3.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-2.57vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.87-1.11vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-2.77vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-1.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.87Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.48Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.89Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.23University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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15.14Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| bella casaretto | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 40.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.