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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+5.25vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+5.47vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+6.54vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.46vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39+4.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.62+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.57+4.09vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.58-4.34vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.56-5.37vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-5.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.55vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.87-2.98vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-0.85vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.63vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.47College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.04Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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15.15Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.9% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 41.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.