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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+7.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.68vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.13+4.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+1.44vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.62+2.06vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.39+1.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.80vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.87+2.23vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-0.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-0.04vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.56-8.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-7.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.76vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-6.69vs Predicted
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18Fordham University-0.08-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.28Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.88Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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5.36Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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14.92Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Lina Carper | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.