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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+5.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+3.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.13+4.24vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39+5.89vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.83+3.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+2.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+4.66vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57+2.15vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-1.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+0.08vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-2.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-4.84vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.11vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-1.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.62-9.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.24Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.89Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.73Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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15.15Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Lina Carper | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 39.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.