Race 1A

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hunter Mumma 17.6% 16.8% 15.0% 13.2% 11.5% 8.2% 7.3% 4.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Annie Schmidt 17.9% 17.9% 13.3% 11.5% 12.6% 9.2% 6.2% 6.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Paggi 10.0% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 9.8% 11.2% 13.3% 9.3% 5.4% 4.1% 1.9%
Solomon Krevans 9.0% 12.3% 11.9% 13.4% 9.6% 10.0% 9.0% 8.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.4% 1.0%
Andrew McHenry 4.2% 6.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 11.8% 14.1% 12.4% 7.2%
Emily McNeil 11.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.5% 12.0% 11.7% 10.0% 8.0% 7.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.6%
Brian Gracey 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 9.5% 8.9% 10.2% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5% 2.6%
Neil Forrester 6.3% 5.6% 7.7% 7.1% 6.4% 7.9% 9.9% 10.4% 10.5% 14.5% 8.1% 5.6%
Heidi Hood 6.9% 7.8% 9.3% 9.0% 10.3% 10.6% 11.3% 8.6% 10.6% 8.1% 6.1% 1.4%
Jamie Lansdowne 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 1.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 8.0% 10.8% 25.6% 27.9%
Ansel Duff 5.8% 4.6% 7.3% 7.3% 6.7% 8.4% 9.8% 11.3% 12.5% 12.0% 9.4% 4.9%
Francisco Salas 1.1% 2.0% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 5.6% 10.1% 20.5% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.