← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.10+1.89vs Predicted
-
2Purdue University-0.57+2.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame-0.07+0.13vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-2.06+2.52vs Predicted
-
5Western Michigan University-1.03-0.21vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-0.53-2.18vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-1.08-2.20vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-2.70-0.50vs Predicted
-
9Saint Mary's College-2.73-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89University of Michigan0.1026.8%1st Place
-
4.02Purdue University-0.5712.5%1st Place
-
3.13University of Notre Dame-0.0722.8%1st Place
-
6.52Marquette University-2.062.7%1st Place
-
4.79Western Michigan University-1.039.6%1st Place
-
3.82Ohio State University-0.5314.4%1st Place
-
4.8Michigan Technological University-1.088.4%1st Place
-
7.5University of Notre Dame-2.701.5%1st Place
-
7.53Saint Mary's College-2.731.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 26.8% | 22.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 12.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Opferman | 22.8% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stella Brown | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 23.8% | 15.9% |
| Lucas Posthumus Meyjes | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.4% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 28.1% | 38.9% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 25.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.