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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+5.22vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.56+3.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+2.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+3.44vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.29+1.50vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.83+2.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.13+0.08vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.28vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.87+0.34vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.62-4.02vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-1.19vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.22-4.37vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-0.92vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.39-6.82vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.62St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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15.08Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.18Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Carly Kieding | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 14.7% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 37.9% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.