← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University1.92+5.45vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.01+4.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.14+10.11vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.15+1.42vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.36-0.12vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.12+6.90vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.16+5.67vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston1.68-0.99vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.34vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.73-2.88vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.64+0.16vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.53-0.27vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-2.03vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.61vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University0.23-2.52vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.31-10.92vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University-0.18-3.00vs Predicted
-
18Tulane University1.06-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.45Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.07Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
13.11University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
5.42Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
-
4.88Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
-
12.9Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.67U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
-
7.01College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
-
11.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.12Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
11.16Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
-
11.73University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.48George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.08Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
-
14.0Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
9.22Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callie Hammond | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.9% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elle Sykes | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.9% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ella Demand | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Ella Towner | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Maisy Sperry | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 25.4% |
| Lola Kohl | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.