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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.68+6.27vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.92+4.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.36+1.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+0.94vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.64+5.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+0.95vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+4.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.15-2.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.01-3.11vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.23+2.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy0.16+1.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-1.67vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-2.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-4.58vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.06-7.43vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.12-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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6.38Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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11.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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12.71George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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13.57Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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12.83Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Alfortish | 7.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Callie Hammond | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elle Sykes | 13.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| Emma Wang | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ella Towner | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 21.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Ella Demand | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Lola Kohl | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.