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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.68+6.23vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.15+3.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.36+1.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.73+2.89vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+5.98vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.06+3.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.31-1.95vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.23+4.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.16+3.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.53+1.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.64+0.17vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.92-5.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-1.89vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.01-8.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-5.33vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.18-2.05vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.12-3.95vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.14-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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9.46Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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5.05Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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12.42George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.56Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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5.79Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.95Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.05Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Alfortish | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Lola Kohl | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% |
| Ella Towner | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Callie Hammond | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 24.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.