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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+5.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+3.13vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.15+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.54+7.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.36-0.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+0.88vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.06+2.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.68-1.02vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.23+3.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.92-3.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.64+0.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.16+0.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-3.52vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.18-0.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.11-2.18vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-4.94vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.37-2.57vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.13Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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4.76Yale University2.360.2%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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12.44George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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11.1Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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13.53Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.82Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.06St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Elle Sykes | 16.1% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lola Kohl | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Callie Hammond | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 29.1% |
| Ella Demand | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.