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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.36+3.98vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+3.12vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.15+2.59vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.54+6.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.73+0.91vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.92-0.78vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.64+2.83vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.68-2.03vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.23+2.57vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+0.16vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.11+1.12vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.06-3.83vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-3.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-5.46vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy0.16-3.25vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.18-3.08vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont-0.37-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.12Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.24University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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12.57George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.17Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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12.75U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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13.92Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Sykes | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Callie Hammond | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ella Demand | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Emma Wang | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 21.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.