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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+4.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.36+2.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+3.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.68+2.96vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.06+4.27vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+5.00vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.92-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.54+3.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+2.20vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.23+2.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.73-3.99vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.15-6.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.16-0.47vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.70vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.64-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.37-1.59vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.18-3.10vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.11-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Dartmouth College2.310.1%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University1.920.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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12.56George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Naval Academy0.160.0%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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14.41University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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13.9Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elle Sykes | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Callie Hammond | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% |
| Emma Wang | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 27.8% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 22.4% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.